Guest-posted on April 19, with pleasure, on Francine McKenna's sub-stack, The Dig:
KPMG, auditor for failed Silicon Valley Bank, has been included as a defendant in a securities fraud case filed April 7 in the federal court in San Francisco — along with directors and officers of the bank and its underwriters Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and Morgan Stanley.
It won’t be the last. SVB failed back on March 10, and the only surprise is that it took so long.
KPMG’s clean audit opinion on SVB’s 2022 financial statements was delivered February 24, three weeks before the bank’s closure by the California Department of Financial Protection and its takeover by the FDIC as receiver. The firm and the other defendants are charged with misrepresenting SVB’s balance sheet, liquidity and position in the market and by understating and concealing the magnitude of the risks it faced.
The plaintiffs, led by the City of Hialeah Employees Retirement System, claim that auditor KPMG did not qualify its opinion for doubts as to the bank’s ability to continue as a going concern, and did not identify as a “critical audit matter” the impact that rising interest rates could have on the unrealized losses on the bank’s bond holdings and its ability to hold those bonds through what was the potential, and eventually destructive, flight of customer deposits.
If it feels like a somewhat geeky sequel to a movie we’ve all seen before, it should.
The comparison has long been available that — just as professors of literature teach that there are a small number of great plots that have been revised and recycled through the history of Western culture — so too the inevitable periodic outbursts of financial malfeasance come in cycles with a handful of recurring themes.
A partial list of examples — paired up so that by squinting and some flexibility, parallels may be drawn:
A hero comes to save the people from a monstrous threat: David v. Goliath, Rashomon and The Magnificent Seven, Jaws, Blazing Saddles
Schemers loot the savings of the credulous: Charles Ponzi, Bernie Madoff, Elizabeth Holmes, Sam Bankman-Fried
The comic effects of mistaken identities: Plautus’s Menaechmi, Shakespeare’s Comedy of Errors, Oscar Wilde’s The Importance of Being Ernest
Assurance providers fail to properly “count the stuff”: The mis-weighed beans in the 1920s, Tino DeAngelis’s fictive tanks of vegetable oil in the 1960s, the € 1.9 billion found in 2020 not to exist at Wirecard
Inter-generational conflict: The House of Atreus in both Greek myth and the plays of Aeschylus, Shakespeare’s Henriad and also King Lear and his fractious daughters, Coppola’s Godfather trilogy, today’s Succession
Accounting principles tortured into misapplication: the netting of accounts at Continental Vending, the Arctic oil leases held by Investors Overseas Services, the special-purpose entities at Enron, the long-term contracts at Carillion
Over the centuries, the rocky course of young love: Hero and Leander, Romeo and Juliet, the romantic mis-adventures of Emily in Paris
The devastating effect of mis-matched interest rates in the strategies of financial institutions, going back to the American savings & loans of the 1980s and the sub-prime mortgage portfolios of 2007-2008, and now erupted at, among others, KPMG clients SVB and Signature Bank
It is, of course, no less predictable that fresh outbursts of financial chicanery will re-trigger the usual reactions, just as authors, playwrights and scriptwriters will reprise the classic themes:
- Hand-wringing accompanies the cry, repetitive but hollow, “Where were the auditors?”
- Regulators and oversight agencies spring into action.
- Lawyers for investors sprint to the courthouse, lawsuits in hand.
- Academics and other commentators get attention from the business media, while jostling to be engaged by plaintiffs as well-paid “experts.”
- Renewed rounds of recrimination, blame-mongering and futile attempts to alter human behavior capture public attention but only briefly and with minimal effect.
If this sounds like a tragicomedy, it’s not as if we haven’t seen this show before. Rather, if the implications of “same old, same old” are so obvious, why haven't we learned from the past?
One place to look for an answer is the hindsight perspective of the critics. Pinning it on the expectation of a “going concern” warning is futile. Good guidance for practitioners has been an intractably elusive challenge for standard-setters for decades. Such an opinion qualification is a “nuclear option” that auditors are passionate to avoid because the company may immediately be in breach of loan covenants. Or worse, for lack of a plan to recover, the qualified opinion becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.
As for CAMs —and their analogs elsewhere in the world where “key” is substituted, thus KAMs — their availability and use have been gradually creeping into practice since introduced via the International Auditing Standards in 2016 and imposed by PCAOB requirements with application starting in 2019.
Wider use, however, has not made C[K]AMs more illuminating, reliable or demonstrably useful to information users. The limited available scholarship on their ability to signal future issues is no better than mixed, since there's no good research proving up the questionable hypothesis that investors actually pay attention to CAMs or make real-world decisions based on their inclusion in corporate disclosures. And there is at least anecdotal evidence that, in fact, they do not. That includes instances where fresh inclusion of a CAM or KAM was met with the typical indifference of investors and negligible effect on the reporting company’s share price.
Reporting in the Wall Street Journal is provocative with regard to the prospects for the SVB litigation, and whether it will be persuasively argued that KPMG’s professional judgments deviated so far from acceptable practices as to sustain a successful claim for the plaintiffs.
WSJ reporter Jean Eaglesham writes that, on the one hand (emphasis added):
“Auditors for nine other U.S. banks most exposed to bond losses also didn’t flag this as an issue…"
“The Journal reviewed the audit opinions for the 10 small to midsize U.S. banks that last year reported the highest losses on held-to-maturity securities as a proportion of their shareholder equity… Silicon Valley Bank ranked second on the list."
“None of the auditors included a critical audit matter related to the bank’s treatment of the bonds. Instead, nine of the 10 reported a critical audit matter for estimated losses from loans or other bad debts.”
And, on the other hand:
“Silicon Valley Bank’s unrealized losses in its bond portfolio appear to ‘meet every definition of a possible critical audit matter,’ said Martin Baumann, a former chief auditor at the PCAOB who had a leading role in designing the new measure.”
And further:
“That appears to tick all the boxes for the auditor to highlight this issue as a critical audit matter. ‘The judgment as to whether or not Silicon Valley Bank had the ability to hold these securities to maturity was certainly a complex question, it was material to investors, and it is hard to see how liquidity was not a matter for discussion with the audit committee,’ said Mr. Baumann, who is also a former senior partner at Big Four audit firm PricewaterhouseCoopers.”
In a world where standards are well-designed and dependably applied, and where liability is imposed in a way that can be perceived as both predictable and fair, the two positions — disclosure decisions of the various auditors for group of small banks, and the attribution of liability to KPMG — cannot be reconciled. They cannot credibly co-exist.
That is, after years of disrespect for the audit profession’s attempts to improve the discipline in their processes, the distasteful choice is between elevating “box ticking” by hindsight to the status of a threshold for liability (insert sarcasm emoji here), or finding that the bar for liability has sunk so low that it requires a serious evaluation and re-set.
That's not to say, at this point at least, that KPMG’s audit performance will be assessed as above reproach. We shall see as the litigation runs its course.
But in that context, it bears noting that back in a happier era before the hijacking of audit standard-setting by regulators under the pernicious influence of the Sarbanes/Oxley law of 2002, the term “generally accepted” had its literal meaning. That is, actual application of standards was observed in practice, tested for usefulness and practicality, and adjusted incrementally; opportunities for evolution and improvements could be taken without the querulous intrusion of censorious bureaucrats.
All changed, and not for the better. If the harshest allegations now brought forward are based on KPMG’s good-faith judgments to omit either a CAM or a going concern opinion paragraph, then — to borrow a metaphor from the world of the theater in that nostalgic time — the plot is so thin that this production should close in out-of-town previews.
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